boiling the frog · drift
Ask Prometheusdrift of a parameter through a window where no single change crosses a wall, so the thing persists until it does not, and the model did not expect it
Boiling the frog (noun) means: drift of a parameter through a window where no single change crosses a wall, so the thing persists until it does not, and the model did not expect it. It emerges from drift, window, wall, model: parameter change that is slow enough that the self-model does not update, so the window closes without a report. In the EmergenceLexicon it sits at computed level 14, chaining down to the four foundations (space, time, energy, pattern).
ordinarily means: slow changes that go unnoticed until it's too late
Examples
- Detroit's water department cut pressure in unused pipes from 2000 to 2010, leading to widespread contamination by 2014. engineering
- The Aral Sea shrank by 90% after decades of incremental irrigation diversions starting in the 1960s. environment
- US inflation rose from 2% to 9% between 2020 and 2022 as the Fed held rates near zero. economics
Emergence
- emergent.window
Chain to foundations
full chain as text (198 steps)
- boiling the frogL14
- driftL11
- parameterL4
- changeL1
- goL3
- makeL4
- nothingL10
- noneL9
- differenceL1
- patternL0
- amountL8
- differenceL1
- offL2
- spaceL0
- differenceL1
- noneL9
- wayL9
- windowL7
- wallL10
- modelL9
- driftL11
Neighborhood
Concepts that depend on this one above; what it is built from below.